Thursday, September 3, 2009
Expectations
So it's with some degree of concern that it seems that the expectations for the 2009 Georgetown Hoyas are set as low as they've been in the 16 years I've been closely following the team.
Not by the team of course, nor even the University. Senior Henry Bowe has already found his way onto some Holy Cross bulletin board with his hopes for a big upset Saturday, and with 19 (formerly 18) returning starters, one can't help but think that Kevin Kelly's fourth year team is its most experienced in years. So where's the expectation that this is the start of something big?
A decade ago, the late Dan Allen remarked "The misnomer around here is that people think we should beat Georgetown. Early on, we didn't respect Georgetown as much as we should have, for whatever reason. You have to respect a program that's beaten you two years in a row. We're at that point right now. Georgetown is as good as any team we play this year."
No one is expecting Tom Gilmore to second the motion this week, but which current PL coach would? Public comments notwithstanding, does Frank Tavani or Dick Biddle or Andy Coen really worry anymore about Georgetown? Eight years after joining the PL, the Hoya football program engenders neither fear nor anger among opponents. It's a win, isn't it?
Not everyone is writing off the Hoyas, however. CSN sports columnist Chuck Burton wrote in his Lehigh blog that "The Hoyas may have the best college football fans in the entire nation. It's one thing to root for a team that routinely wins conference championships, bowl games or FCS playoff games. It's quite another to root for a team that hasn't done better than 5-6 as a member of the Patriot League and not even coming close to a Patriot League championship. Add to this the fact that the DC media largely doesn't even know they exist, and they've been playing in a half-finished stadium for the last three years - the fact that the small, but strong, Hoya faithful have stayed loyal to their team all these years says volumes about their fans."
"But there's real evidence that Hoya fans have ceased to be patient with coach [Kevin] Kelly. It's his fourth year as head coach. This group is, in every way, his team. The staff has largely been intact from last year's last-place 2-8 finish. And the talk of teams like Fordham changing the Patriot League financial aid landscape is forcing Hoya fans to ask some uncomfortable questions."
We've talked about Fordham before, but Burton's aside on Kelly is an undercurrent that will unfortunately be there all year if the Hoyas don't show some visible on-field improvement. At almost any other Division I school, posting a 5-27 record is a one way bus ticket, but Georgetown shows a well known loyalty to its coaches, in good times and bad (Ask Pete Wilk.) In fact, unless your name is Craig Esherick, it's hard to remember any Georgetown coaches in recent years who were publicly pushed out of a job.
Kelly has set high standards for his team, withstood some departures, but raised team grades and has maintained morale in difficult times. The wins have not followed, but the 2006 team was not his, they said, the 2007 team was too young and 2008 was a MASH unit. What to make, then, of 2009, and what will we say three months hence?
Fans and alumni don't expect playoff bids, but they expect competitive play: over the last three years, there has simply not been enough of it . Georgetown has won five games in three years, four by the margin of a field goal and one by a touchdown, 7-0. The other 27 have frankly not been close. Save for a missed assignment by a Howard defender and two missed extra points by Marist, Georgetown fans could very well have seen a winless 2008 season. In 2007, a winless season was averted by a 38 yard field goal with 10 seconds left at Bucknell, which has inexplicably seen as many PL wins for the Hoyas (two) as has its own home field. And if you believe some of the PL writers foreseeing the 2009 season, Georgetown can start 18 returning players and still be a 1-10 team before it is all over. What breaks this cycle?
The structural impediments to success have been well chronicled: the budget gap, the ever-tightening recruiting window, the unfinished promises of the MSF. But facilities don't make first downs, and budgets don't block--it's up the coaches and players to make the difference. This team and this staff must commit to better on-field performance, win or lose, and do so in a more cohesive way, and accept the results of those expectations.
Similarly, the University must commit to a better off-field expectation. Ten years ago, Bob Benson could go on for a half-hour discussing his vision for Georgetown football. He even wrote about it in a essay covered on the HoyaSaxa.com site: "Play peer institutions," he said. "Build a new facility with all the tradition of the past in mind. Place it in the center of campus. Create a new school spirit among our students, faculty, and the community, and bring an environment with a wonderful aura of history and tradition to the Georgetown campus. "
That may (or may not) be the vision today. In 2009, with Fordham's scholarship demands putting the PL on notice and the perceived decline of the PL as a whole, what is the vision going forward?
Kevin Kelly has never been asked to articulate a vision, that belonged in Bernard Muir's hands. Two years ago, he told the New York Times that "We don’t have all the football pieces in place yet, but in time we will, and it will be a good experience for Georgetown." Unfortunately, Muir's putting the pieces together in Delaware, not DC. Without an athletic director for 2009-10, maybe the vision thing, like the MSF, uncomfortably stays on hold. But that's exactly when the expectation for success must be in front of these AD candidates--Georgetown is committed to sustained competitive excellence in the Patriot/Ivy model and you, as a candidate need to understand and support it. If they don't buy in, why should anyone else?
Vision and expectations go hand in hand. Speaking for myself, that there are eight--count em', eight--games from which a prepared and well-executed game plan could mean a win for the Hoyas. (I'll leave it for you to guess the three games this won't apply.)
Win all eight? Not quite, but just split the eight and you've got a 4-7 season. Great? No. Progress? Yes. Anything less than four raises more questions than I'd like to raise at this point.
And, yeah, there's also something to be said for the adage, "shoot for the moon, settle for the stars". Georgetown's academic peer, Duke, knows all too well what consistent losing does for a program. Its second year coach David Cutcliffe has no small aspirations, however. A 4-7 season won't cut it for Cutcliffe. He wants to see the Blue Devils in a bowl. That would be like picking the Hoyas to challenge for the PL title, wouldn't it?
"This team should be a bowl team," Cutcliffe said. "I've been doing this a long time. It has the ingredients. It has enough experience in the right places. If the coach puts them in the right position, then we'll get there. I know people look at me sometimes like I'm crazy. I just say what I really believe, and I don't have a problem with doing that. I just like to say the truth."
The season begins, and the truth is not far behind.
Tuesday, August 25, 2009
Postcards From The Road
Long ago, in a galaxy far, far away, travelers would send post cards back to family and friends with tales of their journeys, a penny a card. Sports facilities, of course, also drew interest, so when I spotted this early 20th century card on the web, it was worth a second look:
It's a early post card of Fitton Field, then the baseball and football home of the Holy Cross Crusaders, and near the site of Georgetown's 2009 season opener. Clearly, the site has undergone a few changes along the way, most notably a 1986 reconstruction that added aluminum seating to what was once an all-wood structure. But for the better part of a century, HC grads have grown up with the field as a part of their college experience, something that is somewhat foreign to Georgetown.
A look around this year's road stops introduces fans to a wide variety of stadia and amenities. With some 21st century photography (satelitte imagery), here's an introduction to the Hoyas' road venues this season:
Fitton Field (Holy Cross)
Capacity: 23,500
Date: September 5
The largest stadium in the PL doesn't have skyboxes or other modern amenities, but it's a comfortable place to watch a game, especially if you're wearing purple. HC has won nine straight against the Hoyas, the second longest streak by any Georgetown opponent. Its last sellout was in 1986 versus Boston College.
C. Mathewson-Memorial Stad. (Bucknell)
Capacity: 13,100
Date: October 3
A classic horseshoe design, it's among the most comfortable stadiums for fans and a great place for night games. The stadium holds the unusual distinction as the only road stadium in the PL where Georgetown has won twice--2005 and 2007. Can the Hoyas make it three in a row?
Goodman Stadium (Lehigh)
Capacity: 16,000
Date: October 10
This natural bowl in the shadow of South Mountain is the best stadium in the PL, and serves as the summer training camp for the Philadelphia Eagles. There may not be a more scenic stadium in Eastern football....but not to the Hoyas. In three games at Goodman, Georgetown teams have been outscored 160-14.
Foreman Field (Old Dominion)
Capacity: 20,748
Date: October 31
Still under construction when this photo was taken, the refurbished Foreman Field is expected to break a modern record for a Georgetown road game when a full house will be in force for a Halloween night game. ODU fans still remember its upset of the Hoyas in basketball two years ago, and are shooting for a football upset at well.
Tenney Stadium (Marist)
Capacity: 5,000
Date: November 7
I'm sure a few Georgetown fans look at these large stadia and say, "we can't do this". And then there's Marist, which tore down an obsolete 2,000 seat Leonidoff Field for a modern stadium along the Hudson that has brought new life to that program. Cost? $4 million. (And we can't do this?)
Finally, let's check the satellite to see what the Multi-Sport Field looks like from high up above. Ugh.
It's been four years since "Phase 1" debuted with temporary seats, a temporary scoreboard, and a sense that real progess was coming.
The 2005 team was a modest 4-7, 2-4 in the Patriot League, but Bernard Muir had higher expectations, and brought in a new era of Georgetown Football to go with the new building to come. The winning tradition isn't here yet. Neither is the building. Nor is the scoreboard.
As a reader, you can judge for yourself what the MSF says about Georgetown against some of the photos above. The temporary seats are still there, and so is the temporary scoreboard. Lots of broken ground for the bleachers that never were built, for the landscaping that never was. The New York Times wrote that "Centrally located on the picturesque Georgetown campus, which sits on a hill overlooking Washington and Virginia, the finished field would be surrounded by campus buildings and dormitories. [Athletic director Bernard] Muir predicted that the new, bowl-like stadium would be “one of the best game-day environments in our league.” That was written two years ago, and nothing has changed.
"The Multi-Sport Field is a metaphor for where things stand at Georgetown," said student association president Ben Shaw. "We’re halfway there.”
Be it ever so humble.
Thursday, August 20, 2009
Five Questions: Defense & Special Teams
The 2008 season finale with Fordham was a good example. The defense held the Rams to just 17 points all afternoon, but it wasn't close to being enough--the offense held the ball for just 6:18 in the first half and the defense was out on the field a record 42 minutes in the game. Despite giving up 252 yards in the first half, the score was still as close as 3-0 nearing the end of the half before the Rams pulled away.
For the defense to do its part, the offense has to control time of possession. Outside that, what are some of the big questions facing the defense into 2009? Here are five.
1. Can Georgetown control the line? The Hoyas were sixth in the league in rush defense and fifth in sacks in 2008. Replacing NFL free agent Ataefiok Etukeren and three year starter Anthony DiTommaso won't be easy, but it's probably the biggest area of adjustment for the team. If the 4-3 defense is successful, it needs the best four it can get out there, and two of these may come from the junior class.
2. How good can Nick Parrish become? Entering his junior season, Parrish may be the best pure linebacker the Hoyas have had since All-MAAC standout Tom Wonica (1992-95) and finished fourth in the Patriot League in tackles as a sophomore. Georgetown's 4-2 defensive stands put a lot of pressure on the LB's to cover the middle and Parrish could be capable of a big year, especially if the line can do their role and give him time to get into better position. He's a big key for the Hoyas to hold its own defensively.
3. Protect the secondary. Teams may find it tempting to go deep on the Hoyas this fall, and we could see that in evidence as early as the season opener with Holy Cross. Georgetown returns all five defensive backs from 2008 and they'll be tested as pass-oriented offenses work the 20-30 yard ranges. Three seniors and two talented sophomores give Georgetown a strong base from which to build upon, but injuries have taken their toll on the secondary in years past. Another stat to watch: interceptions. Georgetown allowed almost 60 percent completion rates as a defense but earned only seven interceptions. A stronger secondary may help rebuild those numbers.
4. Punt coverage. Georegetown lost two of its best returners in the graduation of Kenny Mitchell and the departure of Mychal Harrison. Georgetown may use a number of options early in the season, but with the impact of field position for an offense such as Georgetown's, return yardage is an underrated statistic. Any improvement on GU's 5.0 yards per return could be key in series where the Hoyas need to establish mid-field position to make a realistic attempt to score. For a team that averaged less than 10 points a game in 2008, field position is essential.
5. Can the defense get a rest? Opponents held, on average, a 10:08 advantage in time of possession against the Hoyas last year, an astounding number. In Kevin Kelly's first two seasons, the gap was around four minutes. A team cannot win games if its defense is worn out by halftime. Georgetown is competitive when its defense gets time off the field, and that will be a constant refrain all season.
Nine returning lettermen offers some experience and some confidence to a defensive set that takes its share of bumps and bruises for a last place PL team. This season, the Hoyas could be a surprise in some games, and look for the defense to take the lead.
Saturday, August 15, 2009
Five Questions: The Offense
A quote attributed to Michael Jordan reads: "If you accept the expectations of others, especially negative ones, then you never will change the outcome." As far as the Patriot League's pre-season poll goes, expectations for Georgetown's 2009 season are not only negative, they're practically nonexistent.
The Hoyas received a last place vote from every one of the 12 voters among the other six schools, which is a de facto prediction for another 0-6 or 1-5 league record, which, frankly will be unacceptable this year. Not only would an 0-fer extend Kevin Kelly's coaching mark to an astounding 1-23 record in PL play, but it would come at the expense of perhaps the deepest returning offensive corps seen at Georgetown in nearly a decade. Put another way, this team is much better than 0-6. Now, can they deliver?
The cynic can rightly say that Georgetown could easily lose every game this year. An optimist would look at the same schedule and make an argument that eight of the 11 games on the schedule are winnable, but with the right mix of talent, teaching, and execution. For the first time in four years, the experience level is there--the Hoyas return eight starters on offense, all taught in the Kelly system. With this in mind, here are five questions on the offense as the season draws closer:
1. Is this the year for stability at quarterback? Looking back at the Georgetown teams of the 1990's, one finds a run of stability and success at quarterback--the Hoyas basically ran just four starters (Aley Demarest, Bill Ring, Bill Ward, and J.J. Mont) over a 10 year run from 1991 through 2000, averaging 20 or more points per game in nine of those seasons.
In the last eight years, there has been a revolving door in the QB position. Since 2001, fans have variously seen starts by Sean Peterson, David Paulus, Morgan Booth, Andrew Crawford, Alondzo Turner, Keith Allan, Nick Cangelosi, Ben Hostetler, Matt Bassuener, Robert Lane, Keerome Lawrence, James Brady, and Scott Darby. Among these 13 quarterbacks over eight seasons, the Hoyas have topped 20 points per game in just one season.
The seven man QB list of 2008 has been trimmed to four entering 2009, with Brady and sophomore Tucker Stafford being the likely two-deep after Keerome Lawrence was moved to slotback (more on him later). Brady was more skilled as a passer than a runner in his debut season, as Georgetown quarterbacks have increasingly become runners versus throwers in the face of a withering line. Stafford, perhaps the best pure quarterback prospect for a Georgetown team since Aley Demarest, saw just three plays against Yale last season before being lost for the season with a hand injury. If Georgetown is to get out of the cellar, it needs consistency from the QB post. Even if someone doesn't go all 11 games, there needs to be a clear leader on the field, and one willing to throw the ball downfield.
2. Is this Charlie Houghton's year at running back? Since being named the Patriot League Rookie of the Year in 2006 on the strength of an end of season flurry, Houghton's impact on the Hoyas has declined heading into his senior season. Averaging 82.3 yards a game in the last four games of 2006, he averaged just half that in 2007, and gained only 32 yards in 2008 before injuries took him out of the lineup.
Houghton is especially valuable as a downfield option--if he can get past the line of scrimmage, as a runner or receiver, his size and speed provide a legitimate option for downfield yardage, something the Hoyas have not proven to be very proficient over the last few years.
With options in the slot, Houghton doesn't have to get the ball for 30 carries a game, but he's capable of it. It's a bit surprising to discover that only one Georgetown runner this decade has carried more than 30 times in one game (Kim Sarin's 31 against VMI in 2004) but then, no surprise that this was the only year Georgetown has ever posted a 1,000 yard rusher.
To borrow an image from the Redskins' teams of the 1980's, the Hoyas need a diesel in the backfield when a quarterback keeper won't do. With a veteran line, this may be the opportunity to finally put Houghton's talents to work.
3. Can we "hold that line"? If one can point to any one group of positions where Georgetown has been considerably deficient relative to their opponents, it's the offensive. Too often, the Hoya lines have been too small, too light, too slow and inexperienced against the defensive sets of other PL schools. There have been games where the defensive lines of some schools were heavier than the Georgetown front line, and that spells trouble.
Of these concerns, inexperience was a common issue. There were always upperclassmen in the starting lineup, but injuries and substitutions always seemed to turn the offensive line into a hug question mark by October. This season's previews report that all five lineman are back for the Hoyas for the first time in a number of years. Are they the 300-pound hogs common in other teams? No, none more than 285. But experience is vital in line work, both for how the game is played and how their teammates react. Georgetown's got a group of five men that know how to play the game. Let's keep them in there right through November.
4. Whither the passing game? Eight starters return for the Hoyas in 2009, not one of them a receiver. Of the top five receivers from 2008, none are back in 2009, accounting for 72 percent of the passing yards from last season. Brent Tomlinson, Colin Meador and Kenny Mitchell (one of the more under-utilized receivers of the last decade relative to talent) graduated, while Mychal Harrison and Keion Wade are no longer on the roster. The Hoyas could really have used the speed off the ball from Harrison and Wade, so what's left?
The leading returning receiver, Rick Cosgrove, caught all of seven passes in 2008, and no other returning receiver had more than two. Ugh. If the Hoyas can't develop a serious threat on the passing game, opponents will drop eight or nine in the box and overwhelm the offense.
The freshman class doesn't contain a lot of big-name stars, but two that might be able to get into the lineup are receivers Kenneth Furlough and Brandon Floyd. Both are 6-2 or taller, both can pick up speed down the field, and one or both may be able to give Georgetown a downfield option it hasn't had since Luke McArdle in 2003, which seems like a generation ago. Seniors Cosgrove, Matt Kinnan, and Zack Barbiasz are all reasonable options at receiver, but none had enough experience to be considered threats at the position. It will be interesting to see if a newcomer can break through and wake up the echoes of when the long ball was a realsitic option for opponents to prepare for against Georgetown.
4. Can Keerome Lawrence be a game changer? Moving a quarterback to the slot is a risky move, but in this situation I think it could be a real given Lawrence's skill set and the ability to introduce something Georgetown hasn't had in the backfield in six years: unpredictability.
In 2003, Bob Benson introduced a lineup that, for the first half of the season, thoroughly confused opponents and led Georgetown to three straight wins by late October, by adding to a freshman quarterback named Alondzo Turner into the lineup. Announced as 6-0, but just barely, the 180 lb. Turner could run, pass, and when in a slot, add some interesting options to the backfield and was named the league's rookie of the week in two consecutive weeks. For 2003, his only season with Georgetown, Turner was third on the team in rushing and threw three touchdowns.
While the experiment with Turner didn't develop, the ability of Lawrence to develop in the backfield is in intriguing one. Lawrence led the team in rushing last season, albeit as a quarterback, and while he wouldn't be expected to do so in 2009, he's capable of big things. His passing game was erratic in 2008, but the simple fact that he could put the ball in the air can open up options to what remains a predictable offense. Absent a huge surprise in the receiver corps, a backfield trip of Houghton, Lawrence and Robert Lane will be the Hoyas' best chance for yardage all season. With his ability, Lawrence could be a great addition to the backfield that enters 2009 ranked among the bottom of I-AA in yardage per game.
And to end this segment, another quote, this one from Thomas Edison: "If we did the things we are capable of, we would astound ourselves." Such is the hope for the 2009 Hoyas and an offense capable not only meeting expectations, but rolling right past them.
Thursday, August 6, 2009
Men Of Harbin?
Camaraderie came to mind this week upon a review of some of the posts on the HoyaTalk message boards. For the most part, the folks get along, and the comments often elevate from mere fandom to some pretty high-minded conversation. I'm still scratching my head over the quote which read, in part:
"I cited the problems of removal jurisdiction and a state court being able to fashion a post-hoc remedy that does not impinge on the Article II powers that are already committed to the electors, the legislature, and Congress. You cite the fact that State Secretary's of State make a ministerial decision regarding candidate eligibility. Challenging this approximately a year later through the use of an extraordinary writ is specious and unlikely to succeed. A court will not fashion relief that goes beyond the bounds of what it may do constitutionally, where the Plaintiff has slept on his or her rights, and the court cannot workably enforce the remedy. I already stated this. You still refuse to deal with it. Of course, your argument also ignores the fact that courts have already dealt with this and dismissed state suits for the exact reasons I explained here."
I'm guessing he wasn't talking about Tucker Stafford's passing attack.
But across the pages at the football board, there was a discussion about having the football team build up some excitement at the start of the game, something popular at I-A schools but largely ignored at the bottom of the Patriot League. One post suggested an entrance like they do at the College of Wooster, where a pipe band leads the Scots onto the field. Another poster suggested the scene from the 1964 movie "Zulu", where the outmanned British garrison, about to face a slaughter from 20,000 proud warriors, suddenly breaks out in singing the Welsh battle song, Men of Harlech. (Was someone making an inference between the Hoyas' chances and that of the garrison? Perhaps, but don't forget that it was the Empire that won the battle.)
OK, so many Hoyas may not get the clever sub-reference. Here's another video where the fans of Cardiff's soccer team sing following Cardiff's FA Cup semifinal win in 2008. You may not know the words, but the tune ought to be familiar:
The song, commemorating the mighty siege of Harlech Castle from 1461 to 1468, was the musical backdrop to Robert Collier's Sons of Georgetown (1894). Most students of the era knew the musical tie-in, most today would surely not. If the team marched onto the field singing this song a capella, I would guess at least one Georegetown fan would ask if they were referring to "Men of Harbin."
The song is one of courage and camaraderie. In sports, that's an unseen and often misunderstood benefit of the athletics experience. In sports, as in life, we learn more from one another than simply from a playbook or a chalk-talk; it is the elements of character and leadership that athletics, the "battlefields of friendly strife", teach. For a Georgetown team where players don't go on to the NFL, where winning is still a goal and not an expectation, and where the four year experience of football is a significant personal commitment most students and/or fans will not soon realize, the need to dedicate oneself to the task at hand is not to be underemphasized.
So, yes, maybe the team does need a better entrance onto the unnamed Multi-Sport Field every game. Maybe they should gather at the hill above the new Hariri Hall, the crown jewel of the MSB, and run down the hill with great abandon (assuming the fencing is taken care of, of course.) Maybe the Georgetown band, not prone to simple marching, should otherwise greet them on the field with the fight song as they run down the field. Or maybe it's as simple as playing the old Georgetown alma mater, it's own Men of Harlech, before the start of play and encourage the crowd to sing it loudly as a call to action, not a post-game dirge of defeat. Use the beginning of the game to set a course of unity, of Georgetown, of victory, and have fun doing so. With a month until the home opener against Lafayette, let's get this on the to-do list, even if it means handing out lyrics to fans as they walk in the gate.
Collier put it best:
"Where Potomac's tide is streaming
From her spires and steeples beaming.
See the grand old banner gleaming
Georgetown's Blue and Gray..."
(And then beat the #$%^%$ out of Lafayette.)
Saturday, August 1, 2009
Stepping Up
Theory, however, is not reality.
So it is with a little indigestion that I pass along this story from the Norfolk Virginian-Pilot, where eager fans await the revival of football at Old Dominion University on September 5, with a home date against Georgetown in a little under three months. The school has already sold over 14,000 season tickets, turned another 1,000 away, renovated a 1930's era stadium, and is installing a new scoreboard and sound system.
"When Old Dominion kicks off its football season Sept. 5 against Chowan, the renovated Foreman Field will be as wired as the 20,000 people on hand" writes the paper. "The old lady - the stadium was built in 1936 - has 56 miles of new fiber optic cable running through and beneath her, part of a grand plan to give fans a video and audio show to remember. ODU has invested $1.5 million into the stadium's audio and video production systems - not counting the approximately $1 million for the 30-foot-wide jumbo video board."
$1.5 million. Ugh. Old Dominion is spending as much on A/V equipment as Georgetown is spending on its football program.
And that's been the rub across the worst decade in the 120+ years of Georgetown football--a day late and a fistful of lot of dollars short. When the Hoyas rode across the MAAC's landscape, they did so with the largest budget in the conference--no great statement there, but Georgetown was never in a game where they couldn't compete. Nine seasons later, Georgetown is over $1.6 million behind that of the sixth largest budget, Bucknell, and nearly $3 million behind that of Fordham. Football is the great unfinished legacy of Bernard Muir's tenure as athletic director: he sought to fix the win loss record (4-7 in Bob Benson's last season, 2005), and the Hoyas won only five games since. He sought to fix the funding, but football spending is about where it was in 2005. He looked forward to getting the MSF project out of the bureaucratic swamp and it's still there. The oft-derided Georgetown scoreboard, good for at least one or two malfunctions every season, is still there.
You can't raise money without a plan: Muir knew that, and so do we all. And I don't doubt there are plans, veritable boxes of plans, floating around McDonough Gym for football, for basketball, and for 27 other sports. But if no one (or very few) knows the plan, is it a plan, or just an clever idea? In an earlier post, I spoke of a paradox in Georgetown's strategic planning that sees the status quo go on for far too long, and it's not just athletics. He who hesitates is lost. Q.E.D.
For Georgetown to complete, it must be on a level playing field. Funding provides a foundation from which to compete, however, and in Georgetown's next capital campaign there must be a means from which Georgetown can call upon resources to build that foundation. I'm not arguing for 63 scholarships (which, for a school carrying less than $375,000 in endowed scholarship revenue, would be untenable), but five steps towards providing the coaching staff a means to attract and retain the best and brightest. Maybe these are in the plan; if not, well, here's some food for thought.
1. Work to endow 12 men's basketball scholarships. What does this mean for football? Well, aside from the uncomfortable idea that a nationally prominent program like Georgetown has secured all of one endowed scholarship in men's basketball, provides an opportunity for football which I'll explain below.
Twelve full scholarships amounts to over $600,000 in athletic department costs. Endowing the scholarships ($1 million each) would open up the equivalent spend of 12 scholarships which the new athletic director could use across all men's sports (with the understanding that a similar campaign for endowing women's basketball scholarships could do the same for these programs.) With 12 scholarships (e.g., three full grants a year), the AD could use these as wild cards, where the various men's coaches could recommend recruits whereby a full scholarship offer would be a page-turner for that sport. For example, football might get one in a year, one for baseball, one for soccer--no guarantees that any sport would get one, but the idea that there are additional resources available to lock in a legitimate "star", the results on the field could be noticeable. Imagine if someone had been able to offer a Mike McLeod (Yale) or a Chris Marinelli (Stanford) a full ride to Georgetown, much less local kids like a Brian Westbrook (DeMatha, Villanova) or a Arman Shields (Gonzaga, Richmond). So imagine if there were more...
2. Work to endow 10 football scholarships. This ought to be up-front in the campaign: identify ten individuals willing to make a game-changing commitment and endow a fully funded scholarship for football. Scholarships at Georgetown aren't cheap and the cost of fully funding a year at Georgetown into perpetuity is $1 million. This task won't be easy, but the tallest hills rarely are. Imagine the opportunities that would open up where a full ride to Georgetown University is available to the top scholar-athletes in the nation.
3. Work to raise annual funds for 15 annual use half-scholarships. Endowed scholarships take time, and we could all be sitting here in ten years waiting for those gifts to come in. The Gridiron Club, which is tasked with annual use giving, should be on the front lines identifying a need (should the Patriot League approve scholarship support) to raise the $25,000 per student each year for a "half scholarship" when combined with available financial aid, would draw a larger pool of recruits into committing to Georgetown. These awards could be named in honor of former coaches (Jack Hagerty, Lou Little), former All-Americans (Al Blozis, John Dwyer, Bob Morris), or the donors themselves. The average gift of a Georgetown endowed scholarship at this time is less than $8,000 per athlete. A $25,000 gift would open up doors...and yardage.
4. Work to raise annual funds for 20 additional buyouts. Absent an athletic scholarship, the Patriot League provides preferential aid in what is called a buyout package--it can convert the loan and work-study components of financial aid to grant for those with need. It cannot offer this to those without need (pending the league's scholarship vote, of course), but for middle and lower income recruits the amount could be valuable in making a decision to attend a school. Georgetown is able to offer many, but not all, recruits such buyouts, which is otherwise standard course at PL schools, and annual buyouts should be a public and visible fundraising priority for the Gridiron Club.
If a recruit has an offer from Lehigh which reads: $30,000 grant, $20,000 parent contribution, or Georgetown ($20,000 grant, $5,000 loan, $5,000 work study, $20,000 parent contribution), where do you think he goes? Where would you go?
These are ambitious goals, every one of them. Let's review the costs:
Work to endow 10 football scholarships ($10 million)
Work to raise annual funds for 15 annual use half-scholarships ($400,000 a year)
Work to raise annual funds for 20 additional buyouts ($200,000 a year)
The last three would add the equivalent of 22.5 scholarships to Georgetown's program, which is estimated in the blogosphere to provide the equivalent of less than 20 in its current model, compared to Fordham (over 60), Colgate (over 55) Lehigh, Lafayette, and Holy Cross (over 50) and Bucknell (over 45). And that's before these schools turn the financial aid mortar into scholarship bricks, which they will presumably use to clobber schools like Georgetown over the head if GU maintains (by absence or design) the financial aid formulas it has used since joining the league.
These goals won't get Georgetown to become Boston College. Or Villanova. Or Holy Cross. It won't put one dollar into the unnamed and unfinished Multi-Sport Facility and won't solve the riddle of the Academic Index. But for the long term stability of the program, it is a visible step forward, a step towards balancing competitive stability and financial security.
$1.5 million buys a great video presentation. But it doesn't always buy a great program.
Sunday, July 26, 2009
A Truck Or A Prius
The upcoming debate on athletic scholarships for Patriot League football was the big story across six PL campuses this summer. Fordham knows what they plan to do, so what does Lehigh do? Does Lafayette automatically follow suit? What about Colgate? Does Bucknell have the financing to match other PL schools? Will Holy Cross stand resolute in opposing the plan, and what will happen if they do?
And some fans of these schools look southward at Georgetown and are only a little nonplussed--sadly, they've come to expect the general yawn from Georgetown to matters with the Patriot League. Where's the debate, they ask. What will Georgetown do? Don't they know what this means?
They know, but there's so much on the plate (from an athletic director search to lagging facilities issues to building pressures on fundraising) that a scholarship vote for the class of 2012 is somewhere farther down the list. Besides, when you're spending a third of what some teams spend on football, what does converting to scholarships mean if you're still 40 players short?
In part one of this series, we discussed that Georgetown is not a I-A program like Holy Cross and, institutionally, shows no sign that it chooses to be. If the Big East commissioner walked up to Georgetown and said, "either get a I-A program or leave the league next year", there's no guarantee it would jump to comply.
Ok, then, does Georgetown want to spend $4 million a year like Villanova (and Fordham, and presumably, two or three more PL schools if a scholarship vote takes place) so it can play Army or Temple once a year? This too, seems to ring hollow in administrative circles.
But herein lies the three questions awaiting the new athletic director come 2010, who should be in place when the PL presidents will presumably vote on this (though, given the league's glacial moves, a quick vote is no guarantee). How much is it obligated to spend in the Patriot League? What will Georgetown actually spend on football? What is the source of funding that will allow it to sustain the first two questions?
The first question, at the least, is favorable for Georgetown, albeit to the chagrin of the other six. The PL has never set a minimum spend for the league and while the Hoyas' three year PL record of 1-16 reflects that the gap may be widening, the league is not looking to pursue an "up or opt" policy. In a recent discussion on the ramifications of a scholarship vote, PL executive director Carolyn Femovich provided a window into how the league - and Georgetown - might react:
"I think if we went that direction, some might work to get up to 58 or 60 equivalencies, and others might say we’ll do scholarships for key athletes and other individuals that might not have the need, but we’ll do a combination, a hybrid model."
And maybe that's the strategy. With a 1-16 league record in Kevin Kelly's three years, Georgetown's high-index, low-dollar funding model just isn't working against the rest of the league. It needs a model which provides good mileage for the dollar but a little more horsepower on the field.
It bears repeating to display these numbers, what I call the Competitive Funding Index (CFI) for Patriot schools. It's the net of the overall expenses less operating or game-day expenses, with the league average indexed to 100 (and that's not even including coaching salaries, which may or may not be within an individual school's football budget). Take a look at these numbers and see what kind of hill Georgetown is climbing:
Of course, there's also Title IX. Chuck Burton writes at the Lehigh Football Nation blog on the quandary:
"But if the rest of the Patriot League offers scholarships, this math changes for some schools that haven't already offered full scholarships in other sports. First of all, the amount needed in both male and female athletic pots grows immensely right off the bat - student-athletes who used to have a only part of a their scholarship "count" (work-study and need-based aid don't count in their accounting) are now having the entire amount count towards scholarship spending. Overall expenses for both sexes could skyrocket, especially at schools where nearly all the athletes are need-based aid in one form or another.
"At a bare minimum it will increase their amount of athletics spending immensely. It could also mean that Patriot League schools may need to abandon this type of accounting for Title IX - meaning that schools will now have to actually spend millions more on top of everything in order just to get in compliance. It could literally mean that spending one million dollars more on football could mean the school has to spend (in addition) two million dollars or more for women's sports."
So how much will Georgetown spend on football? Pragmatically speaking, only what it has to, but with Big East requirements exerting a greater pull in financial commitments that it ever has before, football supporters not only have to stand up for the team, but against those who whisper that football is no longer relevant, a waste of money. Instead of football, they whisper, that budget could fund a more competitive (select one: field hockey, swimming, golf, softball, tennis, volleyball, et al.) program."
Heed well the words from Frank Rienzo nearly two decades ago: "the sports which will survive at Georgetown are those with a constituency of support." The Gridiron Club must be more visible, more involved, and frankly, work the membership lists to a much greater extent than they have ever done before.
And what is the source...um, sources of funding to make this work? This is the hybrid approach discussed above. It will take a mix of endowed funds, of full grants, of partial grants, of annual use buyouts, and lots of need-based aid to make it work. But in 2009, there is far too little of the former and far too much of the latter to keep Georgetown competitive, even in a league that has been on the decline since 2003--much less to compare it to other conferences.
Ask yourself: if an underfudned Georgetown team is a combined 5-38 since 2001 to PL opponents when these schools cannot offer athletic scholarships, what is the record likely to be when they can?
Thankfully, some tools are around the corner. (In part three, the tools for the rebuilding effort.)






