Monday, June 2, 2025

The Georgetown Football Puzzle (Part One)

 

 


"The significant problems we face cannot be solved at the same level of thinking we were at when we created them”--Albert Einstein

Entering its 25th season of Patriot League football this fall, upcoming changes to Patriot League football figure to test a competitive model at Georgetown University that has largely been unchanged in decades.

With an alchemy of philosophical, institutional, and financial constraints, Georgetown is one of just two Division I schools in the East playing nonscholarship football outside of the Ivy League, and is the only nonscholarship program in all of Division I competing in a scholarship conference. That the Hoyas have been able to compete in the Patriot has been due in no small part to the resolve of its coaches and players, but the league is poised for a significant upgrade in the years to come.

The arrival of two, perhaps three new member schools is one part of the change, but revisions to the league bylaws put additional scrutiny on how the Georgetown model, once dubbed as "football for fun", will compete going forward in recruiting, admissions, and ultimately for wins.

In the midst of the uncertainty of NIL and pressure on men's basketball to support the budget at-large, there are no clear paths to determine which tactics are best aligned to a strategy to meet competitive and institutional obligations. Priorities that once relegated football within a narrow definition of the "ethos and culture" of Georgetown require a second look to see what can be retained, and what must be realigned for the future.

To address a problem, of course, first one must identify that there is a problem.

Plainly speaking, Georgetown's 25 years in the Patriot League have been a challenging (at best) exercise in competing against better funded programs to whom it does not compete on a level playing field in terms of resources or results. Since 2001, Georgetown is 29-111 against PL teams. In almost any other program, that would be wholly unacceptable. It's not that Georgetown can't do so, but often times it has chose not to.

The Rubik's cube analogy is especially appropriate here. The balance of recruiting, admissions, retention, staff, facilities, and competitive outcomes are all weighted against drivers that are equal parts experiential (a worthwhile student experience), expectational (a record of success worthy of the effort) and economic. A coach, an athletic director and even a president at Georgetown is expected to make it all work, in every sport, and at every time.

However daunting at times, the Frank Rienzo-era model of Georgetown athletics has, for the most part succeeded, but 2025 is not 1975. Football is a visible example of this. Even if Georgetown doesn't seek to compete with Auburn or Syracuse, how can it even compete with Richmond or William & Mary on a 50 year old competitive model?

This column, in three parts, will attempt to raise issues through a nine-box chart, comparing opportunities based on cost versus program change. It's not a risk model in that neither cost nor program change is inherently more or less risk-averse, but that competitive improvements come with an impact to the model to which a sport is situated at Georgetown. Some are optimal, some are disruptive, and still others may never gain the momentum to act upon it, but they bear discussion.



In part one, let's look at three issues with relatively little cost to the Georgetown football model, but with some degree of program change.

1. Local recruiting (low cost, low program change).


All politics is local, so they say, and so is football.

Take a look at the Georgetown roster of 2024. Just one player played high school ball in the District, another five played inside the Beltway. Georgetown is not even an afterthought to the All-Met or all-conference selections among nearly 200 high school programs in the region, and not merely the ESPN Top 300 selections for whom a major college program offers opportunities to play in the NFL. Of the top 20 teams in the Washington Post's 2024 high school rankings, just one current GU player graduated from one of these schools. In the past 10 seasons, a total of just seven Georgetown players  are alumni of any of these 20 high schools.

This is not new to football or to the University. For much of the 20th century, Georgetown took a patrician view of local high schools, passing over most public school applicants (before and after desegregation) and limiting its private school interest to a coterie of schools such as Gonzaga, St. John's, Landon, or Georgetown Prep, ostensibly over grades and academic reputation. Outside a period in the early 1970s where Georgetown picked up recruits from the now-defunct football program at Montgomery Junior College,  local recruiting in football remains an anomaly.

Today, a competitive FCS-level candidate from Good Counsel, Churchill, or DeMatha would be more likely to end up on a roster at Holy Cross or Lehigh than Georgetown. The 2024 Villanova roster has more Washington kids than Georgetown does. So does Richmond.

For the majority of its PL existence, Georgetown could shrug its shoulders and point to the Patriot League Academic index as the governor on local recruiting. For the first 20 years of PL football at Georgetown, the restrictions that limited Georgetown to a narrow subset of recruitable athletes based on GPA and SATs within one standard deviation of the admitted pool of students largely wiped away any recruit below a 1200 SAT, and that was a lion's share of the local market. Even if one were to have the numbers,  Georgetown's competitive standing would lead the high-score recruits elsewhere.

Quietly, this has changed.

The Patriot League began to take a look at SAT's during COVID, where six of the seven schools (Georgetown excepted) went test optional. In 2023, the NCAA ruled that SAT scores were no longer required for eligibility. By late 2024, references in the Patriot League bylaws were revised from "Academic Index" guidelines to "Narrative Reporting". By many accounts, the banding of recruits to a strict index is no longer maintained.

While no one will say so publicly, this subtle change, along with expected changes to the league's redshirting policy, persuaded Richmond and William & Mary that PL football would not be a competitive stranglehold on the recruiting bases it already maintains.

Potentially, this change should open the recruiting window a little wider on Georgetown recruits, including local ones, to whom the GU staff could not even look at before, but to whom its financial aid would be otherwise competitive among lower-income and Pell Grant eligible applicants (the latter of which is a public priority of the University at large). This is not to suggest that low-performing rockheads are suddenly in the consideration set, only that the coaches can cast a wider net at talent to whom the opportunity to study and compete at Georgetown is no longer a deal-breaker. But will it?

The lack of an academic index is not the salvation of Georgetown recruiting: it's still an difficult proposition to attract talent without sustained success. I have called it the Cornell paradox-- a top prospect with an offer to Harvard or Princeton wouldn't go to Ithaca because the Big Red aren't successful, even if the aid was comparable. Cornell hasn't won an outright Ivy title ever and its last shared title was 35 years ago. The Big Red have 32 wins in the past 10 years, the Hoyas 35. 

To paraphrase an old argument, before you win the game, you must win the recruit. However, successful programs are built with a local (or regional) foundation: an Alabama or a Penn State can recruit nationally, but they had better in the mix for every top recruit in the state. To the degree Georgetown can be a realistic option for local and regional talent, it needs a foundation.

Georgetown has posted only 17 first team all PL selections since 2001. Of these, one was a local product. There is too much talent in the region not to prioritize local recruiting and not just settle for the boarding schools and the second team all-county selections to compete in today's Patriot League.

Recruiting is about relationships, and the turnover in assistant coaches doesn't make that job any easier for the Hoyas. (On its web site, a page titled "Who Recruits My State" lists Steve Thames as the contact for DC and suburban Maryland; unfortunately, Thames left Georgetown for Rutgers two seasons ago.) Assistant coaches can't go very deep with dozens, if not hundreds of high schools in their assigned region, and must rely on the trust built with high school coaches who understand the PL model and Georgetown's place within it. The Hoyas' two veteran assistants (Rob Spence, Kevin Doherty) recruit the tried and true of Georgetown recruiting: the New York Tri-State area and New England.  However, fewer players are coming from this region: in 1996, 44 members of the team came from either New York or New Jersey. In 2024, just 12. Personally, I'd like to see more signees from Texas and Florida, but that comes with a cost. 

Local recruiting remains a low cost, value-added approach and one which could open the door to more talented recruits that want to make a difference close to home.

2. Focus On The Transfer Portal (low cost, moderate program change).



One of the unfortunate byproducts of this era is the transitory nature of college athletes through the increasingly volatile NCAA transfer portal.  Between the transfer portal and name, image, and likeness, the tenures of the four year player is an increasingly rare one in Division I athletics.

Georgetown University is not immune to these trends, and not just in the revolving door that is men's basketball. The transfer portal opens for baseball today and players from a lot of teams, Georgetown included, will be out the door. Head baseball coach Edwin Thompson hasn't hesitated to make his case online.

"We welcome anyone interested that is looking to come play @GtownBaseball," he wrote on Twitter. "Want a chance to develop on the field?  Get a world class degree? Come grow in Washington D.C. Come join us for the next chapter! DM’s are wide open!"

 By contrast, Georgetown football hasn't made inbound transfers a priority.

It's still "Four for 40" for Rob Sgarlata and staff,  not "One or two for 40" and that's understandable--he's been with the program for 35 years and understands the importance of class ties that extends from one's arrival as freshmen right through life as alumni.  As a result, the four year development is part of the program's fabric: more than many programs, most Georgetown underclassmen won't see the starting lineup until their junior season. To bring someone into the starting lineup that didn't go through one, two, or three years learning the ropes is a big change, but an increasingly necessary one in this era of college football.

Georgetown has accepted transfers in the past, but few if any have been game changers as the program goes. Most of the transfers over the years have been walk-ons at FBS programs that didn't get time there, and many didn't get time at Georgetown, either. I recall one WAC transfer in the mid-2000s who arrived that summer and didn't even make the team (though he stayed to graduate), another was a kicker from the University of Texas that played in the Georgetown spring game but then transferred back to Texas and finished his degree there. The current team's most notable inbound transfer is WR Nick Dunneman, but he arrived from a Division III program. More often than not, transfer admissions have been rare at Georgetown and not changed the trajectory of their respective teams.

Other PL schools have seen an impact from transfers. The 2024 Patriot League offensive player of the year was Bucknell QB Ralph Rucker, was a transfer from Oklahoma. Fordham quarterback J.J. Montes arrived from New Mexico and was a Walter Payton finalist in 2023. But what the portal giveth, however, it can taketh away: Lafayette lost nine players this past season to transfers, Richmond lost ten. Lafayette head coach John Troxell told the student newspaper what is driving this.

 "Agents [are] becoming more active in communicating with players [which] gives them an enticing opportunity to leave and chase money or a higher level,” he said. “We lost more guys [in 2024] than we lost probably in the first two years combined."

"My ultimate goal is to become a pro,” said all-PL first team RB Jamar Curtis, who left Lafayette and is now enrolled at Sacramento State.  "I’ve got a better chance of reaching my potential and our goals from where I’m at now.”

Georgetown is unlikely to be the place for such aspirations, but there is a sweet spot where, for a sophomore or a redshirt freshman, a commitment to a Patriot League school makes sense. Richmond is positioned for that this season, adding three well recruited players that did not see time at Maryland, North Carolina and Appalachian State, respectively but still want to play football.  Bucknell and Holy Cross have three adds as well.  The Hoyas have apparently added one transfer, though they never announced it.  Luke Daly, a reserve WR that played at Villanova for three seasons, announced a transfer to Georgetown on January 12.


Three transfers seems a good number for Georgetown to aspire to each year: impact players that were either previously recruited by Georgetown and took offers elsewhere before entering the portal, or those with previous FBS experience elsewhere but wish to return closer to home. One or two years of grades provides the staff and the office of admissions with a review of what they are capable of, and if admitted they arrive to the team with the intangible asset of experience. This is especially valuable, and needed, in impact positions like running back and the offensive line, where Georgetown simply does not recruit as well, and often wears out during the season.

It's also a good number given that, maintains the high school recruiting strategy, so that Georgetown does not become a way-station for 10-15 transfers in and out every season. A limited number of transfers replaces experience with experience.

The Patriot League isn't at the stage where it is ready to sign off on grad transfers... well, not yet, anyway. Georgetown's place in that discussion needs some internal consensus as this is where a Georgetown degree may be most impactful to a graduate with excess eligibility, and how to make that case to commit to a fifth year at the program.

3. Alternate Degree Programs (low cost, high program change).


A four year residential experience is a traditional one for Georgetown student-athletes. As recent years have shown, it's no longer the only path to an education.

Some will transfer in, others will transfer out. Online education is now a factor. At a University which is actively trying to create a separate campus in downtown Washington, some majors, particularly in public policy, face a different student life than those in dormitories. As this column has discussed, the opportunities to draw more local recruits and more transfer opportunities, it must discuss, if not engage with, academic opportunities which align with nontraditional degree opportunities.

In 2024, two men's basketball players, Jay Heath and Akok Akok, received bachelor's degrees in liberal studies (BLS) from Georgetown University. Each were transfer students (from Arizona State and Connecticut, respectively) who joined the team. A BLS is not a degree from the College, or the SFS, or even the business school. It's a degree from the School of Continuing Studies (SCS), which has quietly become the largest degree granting school at the University. Primarily known for a wide variety of master's degree and professional certificate programs to working professionals, the downtown campus has been offering the BLS degree for a number of years, primarily to those who have completed up to two years elsewhere, in concentrations such as Business & Entrepreneurship, Cybersecurity, Analytics, & Technology, Media, Communications, & Humanities, Politics & International Relations, and Interdisciplinary Studies.





Two items distinguish the BLS from its A.B. and B.S. brethren: flexibility and cost.

First, it's an online degree. Some may object to say that an online education isn't a "real" education, but two years of Georgetown students navigated online coursework during COVID-19 and did fine. It is a degree in course per the University. For transfer applicants who have completed as many as two years elsewhere and do not expect to retake core courses to fit the requirements of a specific four year College or MSB program, such a program gives them the flexibility to earn a degree and stay on focus to graduate on time.

Watching a lecture online may not be the same as sitting in the back of a classroom at Hariri, but the coursework is designed to be held up to the same standards as a classroom environment. As online education grows more comfortable within the 18-24 audience, it's an option for some candidates which heretofore has gone unnoticed.

The second issue is cost. The need award for a football player coming to Georgetown will be based on a 15 hour per semester commitment at an average of $2,550 per credit hour. This, plus the cost of attendance, is a University commitment of somewhere short of $92,000 per FTE per year and that's what the program must work to get an aid package that a recruit and his family can afford.  The cost of a credit hour for the BLS degree is $412.

And you read that correctly.

A full year's tuition in SCS, therefore, runs $12,360 versus $71,136 for the main campus. Even adding in the cost of room and board, a year in SCS would be as little as one-third the cost of a main campus undergraduate degree program.

While a note in the online undergraduate bulletin notes that "undergraduates in the [SCS] may be eligible for loans, federal grants, private scholarships, and other external awards, but are generally not eligible for [University aid] scholarships," an SCS applicant of a middle class household income has a much, much lower threshold of affordability than one where the expected gap between the parent contribution and the coat of attendance is much higher, and even less should the applicant be local to the area and thus not opt for  room and board (required on main campus, but not within SCS). It also suggests that if the football program bought out the loan or work study portion of the gross cost, the gap could come in at a much lower cost and be much more competitive.

Generally speaking, Georgetown football hasn't had commuting students since it made dormitory living a requirement in the 1980s (and gained the annual revenue from doing so). To no surprise, perhaps, on-campus housing now runs between $15,000 to $19,000 per year in financial aid calculations. For those families that can afford it or who have a full aid package,  living on campus is a good thing. For those that don't have that financial option, it can be a deal breaker.

Granted, an online education is a marked change from where Georgetown football is right now--there will always be those who want the four year finance degree and the entre to Wall Street. For some transfers, and that's the group in discussion here, it may not be. For them, it may be more about a Georgetown degree and less about the view from Village A or the food in the dining hall. Were it to be an option down the road, an online program could be an opening to recruits who, with transfer credits, can earn their degree and compete for the team, and be able to afford both.

These three topics are about change as opening doors. In part 2, we'll talk about looking at new ways to fund such changes.



Monday, April 28, 2025

William & Mary's Move To The Patriot League (Part One)

 


It was not a year ago that news of the arrival of the University of Richmond to the Patriot League foretold a tectonic shift in the regional football landscape. If so, Friday's announcement of a ninth PL school is the first of two earthquakes to reshape the landscape of Eastern football.

But this took years. The move by William & Mary was, by contrast, mere weeks. What happened? And what does this mean for Georgetown?

"It was very obvious to me,” said former W&M coach Jimmye Laycock, "[that] it’s not the CAA that we used to know, and it’s not the Patriot League that we used to know.”

"Once upon a time, Patriot League members did not offer athletics-based financial aid and had little hope of competing nationally," wrote columnist David Teel. "[In 2012] the dinosaurs realized that athletic scholarships do not equate to academic decline, and their pivot to modern times enhanced Patriot League football, witness its subsequent playoff encounters with CAA programs.

"In the last 10 postseasons, Patriot teams are 5-5 versus the CAA. In 2015, Patriot champ Colgate defeated the CAA’s New Hampshire and JMU en route to the quarterfinals, and last year Lehigh rallied for a playoff victory at Richmond. This one week after the Spiders had routed W&M 27-0 to finish 8-0 in the CAA."

The word "Richmond" is at the center of this move.

In hindsight, Richmond's move to the PL was surprising but not altogether shocking. Despite its roots in the capital of the Confederacy, the school has longed looked north for students and within athletics. It left the Southern Conference in 1975 in search of a major college home and, finding none for the next decade, joined a league literally called the Yankee Conference. It joined the Atlantic 10 for basketball and most of its sports over 20 years ago, and seemed a more plausible fit for the PL's somewhat parochial view of college football at the time.

Richmond's move was years in the making. Twenty years earlier, UR alumni were in open revolt over a plan being floated to join the PL at the conclusion of the A-10's sponsorship of the conference.  "The decision came after a frantic week that began with a Richmond Times-Dispatch article that revealed that the board of trustees was considering...a move to the non-scholarship Patriot League," wrote the Richmond Collegian. "Within days, flyers had been posted, petitions had been circulated and the overwhelming opinion of the student body, alumni and supporters became apparent they wanted Richmond football in the CAA. According to a university representative cited in the Times-Dispatch article, the administration office received more communication about the proposed league change than the tuition increase."

"If the school does want to move to the Patriot League, it seems as if they are just trying to get rid of football in the long run," said Stacy Tutt, its all-conference quarterback.

Two decades later, no such opposition. Football scholarships made the PL model more palatable, as did a league wide move to FBS guarantee games (except Georgetown, of course) that was comparable to CAA football aspirations. The ongoing loss of rivalries that had dated to the Yankee Conference was no small factor: UConn, UMass, Delaware, and James Madison were gone, and the likes of Bryant, Campbell, NC A&T and Hampton were poor substitutes.

As stated above, this change took 20 years at Richmond but a matter of months or even weeks at Williamsburg. Why? An article in the Richmond Times-Dispatch offers some clues.

"I think it comes down to a couple of things for us," said W&M athletic director Brian Mann. "First is, we wanted to be connected to the University of Richmond and play them in football every year, and when we can do it the last Saturday before Thanksgiving with the hopes that that game will have some postseason implications, that’s a place where we want to be.”

Mann added the missing piece to the puzzle: by adding Richmond, the PL was, in his words,  "serious about becoming a nationally relevant football conference and building on the successes they’ve already had. And Richmond going in, without reducing anything that they were doing in football, we took notice of that. And so when the conversation started up not long ago, we had a different perspective on how the Patriot League was viewing their future.”

The Newport News Daily Press compresses the timeline even further. " As outlined by Mann, the Patriot-W&M courtship began only a few weeks ago, the process streamlined by mutual interest and a football-only focus. A quick and enthusiastic endorsement from Mike London, Laycock’s successor as head coach, made Mann’s sales pitch to other constituents even easier."

"For us it’s great because it’s the same number of conference games we’re used to playing,” Mann said, “and our (non-league) schedule is built that way for the next few years.”

In one sense, Richmond jumped into the PL pool and called over to the Tribe: "Jump in, the water's fine". This isn't the Patriot League that sneered at the playoffs, that eschewed scholarships, or would aspire to play nothing more than Ivy League teams in their off weeks. In the 2025 season, PL teams not named  Georgetown will play the likes of Air Force, Boston College, Northern Illinois, Oregon State, and Syracuse this fall, not dissimilar to Richmond playing North Carolina nor William & Mary at Virginia.  For a William and Mary program which also has games with Duke, Stanford,  and Wisconsin on its plate through 2030, this was an affirmation that a move alongside Richmond, preserving its signature rivalry, would not be in vain.

Conference moves are not easy, of course, because they affect the college as a whole, endure significant exit fees, and can be institutionally acrimonious. How did William & Mary pull it off? Someone did their homework. 

Yes, W&M is a member of the Coastal Athletic Association and has no interest, for now, in moving its teams elsewhere. The reported exit fee to leave the CAA is $1 million, a pittance compared to $30 million and 27 months advance notice for the Big East Conference and over $100 million in the power football conferences, but no small sum, either.

But CAA football isn't the CAA, at least not exactly. The CAA is a successor in interest to the conference previously sponsored by the A-10 and the former Yankee Conference and was always a separate entity, which allowed schools like Richmond, Villanova, New Hampshire, et al. to play football but not move all its sports there. A reported exit fee of just $250,000 for schools under the CAA football entity is more than manageable--a $420,000 guarantee fee for W&M's game at Virginia on September 13 covers the entire cost and then some.

What does a move offer William & Mary? Playoff opportunities, sure. Marginal savings on travel? Yes. What is really protects is 1) the Richmond rivalry and 2) a hedge against further instability in the CAA, where a house divided between the likes of Maine, New Hampshire and Rhode Island and a southern flank of Campbell, Elon, and NC A&T is increasingly unstable. 

If the proverbial ground shook the Tidewater region, rest assured it was felt in McDonough Gymnasium, too. The arrival of two very strong football programs to a league that has not changed in over 20 seasons does not go unnoticed, no less so for a Georgetown program that has long been in its own peculiar orbit for years. It's the school that aspires to be Penn State in one sport (men's basketball) but is closer to Penn in 29 others. It's the only non-scholarship football program within a Division I scholarship conference.

Some of this was tolerated to the fact that Georgetown was seen by some as an insurance policy of sorts to maintain a minimum number of PL schools for playoff consideration and that, while the Hoyas don't win very often, they play by the rules and are a nice addition to the annual schedules. But as the quotes above suggest, Richmond and William & Mary are coming to compete, and to win. It's raising the game for Holy Cross and Lehigh, Colgate and Fordham and at the very least, may be a walk-up call at Lafayette and Bucknell. How this changes Georgetown, if at all, bears watching.

More in part two of the series.