Tuesday, November 16, 2021

Week 10 Thoughts

 

Some thoughts in the wake of Lehigh's 24-9 win over Georgetown this past week and the 2021 season finale upon us:

Sputtering. If one word can encapsulate the 2021 season, this may be it. While no one at Georgetown entered 2021 with plans for the FCS playoffs, an expectation was that the season would show progress. Outside of the football office, it's been difficult to see it.

Georgetown started its first drive of the second half Saturday driving 57 yards in nine plays, the longest drive of the first half. Next four possessions: punt, punt, stopped on 4th down, fumble. Second half: 69 yards in 13 plays, followed by punt, punt, punt, an 4th down. The last four drives consumed 12 plays and eight yards. And the weather was improving in the second half. Saturday's game marked the sixth game this season where Georgetown could not muster 100 yards and the fifth where it could not gain 60.

The offensive line looks beaten up, the rushers look a step slow on every play. Its only returning underclassman  in the backfield has rushed the ball once in the last seven games. The Hoyas eschewed the youth movement this and went all-in on a lineup heavy on seniors, grad students, and fifth years. The results have been underwhelming.

Even head coach Rob Sgarlata dispensed with the usual optimism in last week's letter.

"I was proud of our overall effort and ability to adapt to the challenging conditions," he said. "That being said, our execution was inconsistent."

Execution should not be an issue in week 10. And it is. It's only a tribute to the historic ebb that the Patriot League is in that Georgetown was not swept by the entire league this year. Instead, with five PL teams in the bottom 30 nationally, the Hoyas can do no worse than a tiebreaker over 1-9 Bucknell for last place. Given Bucknell's assignment versus PL titleist Holy Cross this Saturday, that is highly unlikely. But if all Georgetown can do is hang its collective hats on a fifth place finish, it speaks to a season that never led anywhere.

It also speaks to a schedule that was very linear--GU beat two teams even further below them in the ratings (Delaware State, Bucknell) and lost to everyone above them. If the Hoyas play to form, they are slight favorites against a  Morgan State team that has one win all season--Delaware State, by six--the same outcome as Georgetown.

No upsets, no surprises. No momentum.

National Rankings: Georgetown's ranking out of 123 schools entering the final week of play:

Points Scored: 104th

Points Allowed: 88th

Rushing Offense: 122nd

Passing Offense: 27th

Total Offense: 91st

Rushing Defense: 108th

Passing Defense: 31st

Total Defense: 74th

Sacks Made: 110th

Sacks Allowed: 104th

This Week In The Patriot League: Three league games finish the season, with only Holy Cross advancing to the playoffs. If you're old enough to remember when a second place finish was a likely at-large bid for the PL, well, you're getting older.

Lafayette (3-7) at Lehigh (2-8), 12:30 pm. The 157th meeting of this rivalry is certainly at a low point, probably not since 1966 when both teams were this low in the win-loss column. Head coaches John Garrett and Tom Gilmore are a combined 24-48 over the past three seasons and there are probably more than a handful of fans in maroon and/or brown hoping for a "loser leaves town" match, which isn't happening. As to the outcome, it's a coin flip.

Fordham (6-4) at Colgate (4-6), 1:00 pm. The what-if game: what if Fordham hadn't built a ridiculous non-conference schedule with Nebraska and Florida Atlantic?  What if they hadn't allowed a 100 yard kickoff return at home versus Monmouth, a game they lost by three? Is this an eight or nine win team entering the last week of 2021? The Rams aren't Holy Cross this season; otherwise, they were very good and a better team than a 6-4 record. All four of Colgate's wins are inside the PL, but the defense can't stay with Fordham.

 Holy Cross (8-2) at Bucknell (1-9), 1:00 pm: Holy Cross rolls into Lewisburg with five consecutive PL wins by an average margin of 27 points. Bucknell has lost its last three games by a combined 134-26, and Georgetown was the only opponent the Bison were even within three touchdowns in PL play.  With the loss, Bucknell will post its first winless season in PL play since 2005.